Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.056408 0.066066 0.076837 0.089733 0.104753 0.121691 0.142243
2025-08-31 0.040738 0.053101 0.068376 0.088617 0.114723 0.147254 0.190877
2025-09-07 0.032785 0.046375 0.064531 0.090519 0.126736 0.175400 0.245773
2025-09-14 0.026664 0.040352 0.059858 0.089610 0.133792 0.196941 0.294076
2025-09-21 0.021911 0.035166 0.055141 0.087332 0.137836 0.213977 0.337492
2025-09-28 0.018213 0.030813 0.050776 0.084574 0.140268 0.228320 0.378084
2025-10-05 0.016257 0.028847 0.049720 0.086667 0.150305 0.255313 0.441687
2025-10-12 0.014411 0.026732 0.048037 0.087337 0.157865 0.278936 0.502448
2025-10-19 0.012820 0.024791 0.046324 0.087611 0.164600 0.301735 0.564367
2025-10-26 0.011629 0.023387 0.045336 0.088976 0.173333 0.328879 0.637185
2025-11-02 0.010778 0.022493 0.045141 0.091742 0.184925 0.362433 0.725817
2025-11-09 0.009387 0.020313 0.042168 0.088667 0.184766 0.373718 0.772870
2025-11-16 0.008439 0.018928 0.040630 0.088353 0.190249 0.396948 0.847308
2025-11-23 0.007526 0.017482 0.038775 0.087131 0.193714 0.416601 0.917083
2025-11-30 0.006986 0.016777 0.038383 0.088979 0.203908 0.451271 1.022773
2025-12-07 0.006298 0.015626 0.036856 0.088081 0.207918 0.473205 1.103411
2025-12-14 0.005602 0.014350 0.034866 0.085840 0.208562 0.487778 1.169278
2025-12-21 0.004963 0.013116 0.032802 0.083129 0.207725 0.498855 1.228369
2025-12-28 0.004676 0.012727 0.032711 0.085186 0.218562 0.538101 1.358830
2026-01-04 0.004340 0.012157 0.032095 0.085846 0.226031 0.570222 1.475915
2026-01-11 0.004016 0.011574 0.031366 0.086115 0.232542 0.600754 1.592772
2026-01-18 0.003773 0.011175 0.031061 0.087456 0.242000 0.639700 1.735819
2026-01-25 0.003608 0.010973 0.031255 0.090176 0.255469 0.690400 1.915696